James Fallows on what would be entailed to administer post-invasion Iraq:
“This could be a golden opportunity to begin to change the face of the Arab world,” James Woolsey, a former CIA director who is one of the most visible advocates of war, told me. “Just as what we did in Germany changed the face of Central and Eastern Europe, here we have got a golden chance.” In this view, the fall of the Soviet empire really did mark what Francis Fukuyama called “the end of history”: the democratic-capitalist model showed its superiority over other social systems…. What is required is a first Arab democracy, and Iraq can be the place.
“If you only look forward, you can see how hard it would be to do,” Woolsey said. “Everybody can say, ‘Oh, sure, you’re going to democratize the Middle East.’” Indeed, that was the reaction of most of the diplomats, spies, and soldiers I spoke with — “the ruminations of insane people,” one British official said.
Woolsey continued with his point: “But if you look at what we and our allies have done with the three world wars of the twentieth century — two hot, one cold — and what we’ve done in the interstices, we’ve already achieved this for two thirds of the world. Eighty-five years ago, when we went into World War I, there were eight or ten democracies at the time. Now it’s around a hundred and twenty — some free, some partly free. An order of magnitude! The compromises we made along the way, whether allying with Stalin or Franco or Pinochet, we have gotten around to fixing, and their successor regimes are democracies. Around half of the states of sub-Saharan Africa are democratic. Half of the twenty-plus non-Arab Muslim states. We have all of Europe except Belarus and occasionally parts of the Balkans. If you look back at what has happened in less than a century, then getting the Arab world plus Iran moving in the same direction looks a lot less awesome. It’s not Americanizing the world. It’s Athenizing it. And it is doable.”
Athenizing = Athens = democracy (it took me a moment as well). Of course, this is by far the most optimistic view. Still, how can you not love gibes by anonymous British diplomats.
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