I very much buy Mickey Kaus’s Fifty-Fifty theory, that modern polling (plus the end of history), mean that the two political parties in the US will remain in “tie” for the foreseeable future:
The “Fifty-Fifty Forever” theory suggests a possible near-future that’s both exciting and depressing — exciting because close races are exciting; depressing because close races, as we learned in 2000, tend to end in so much acrimony, litigation, and uncertainty that they undermine democratic legitimacy.
That’s exactly why I think two of the most critical and opportune political issues are both non-partisan: improving election machines (so tight races can be decided fairly and accurately), and independent redistricting (so that incumbents are not gerrymanded into forever-safe districts).
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