4 years ago, Gilder predicted the role out of CDMA in China presaged the end of GSM. Shockingly (not), China Unicom’s network has not taken off: “How many in China will be willing to pay [US$300-400 for a handset], change their phone number and maybe not get as good network coverage?”
When will people learn that even dog standards like GSM are good enough? What matters is universal adoption, not minor (claimed) technical improvements from things like CDMA. If you’re not an order of magnitude better than the entrenched standard, don’t even bother.
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